Category: Latest Posts

  • Multifamily Refinancing Gets Harder for Borrowers | Embracing Performance Over Perception

    Refinancing multifamily debt became harder as borrowing costs moved higher, especially for owners who financed acquisitions during the low-rate window from 2020 through 2022.
    Lenders reviewing refinance requests often wanted new equity, and some borrowers resisted, making fresh acquisitions easier to win than recapitalizations tied to stalled business plans.
    For lenders, troubled refinance stories raised tougher committee questions: why the asset struggled, what changed, and whether a new loan would solve debt service.
    Even with pressure in the market, multifamily still drew strong capital interest, but lenders signaled high debt loads would need new equity first.
    A more financeable path emerged when existing lenders reset values through discounts, short sales, or discounted payoffs, giving new capital a workable basis.

  • The Multifamily Investor’s Valuation Reset Opportunity

    The Multifamily Investor’s Valuation Reset Opportunity

    Multifamily housing fundamentals remain strong despite a large supply wave, with improving occupancy and rent growth. Apartment valuations have dropped 22.3% from their 2022 peak due to high interest rates, creating attractive buying opportunities with discounted prices and improving property performance. Favorable demographics and housing affordability support long-term demand, while credit availability and lender competition improve financing conditions. Investors focusing on cash flow and market selection may benefit from the current valuation reset.

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  • Commercial Property Prices Split by Deal Size

    Commercial Property Prices Split by Deal Size

    CoStar's value-weighted property index fell 1.3% in August, marking five consecutive months of decline, while the equal-weighted index rose 1.4%, nearing its record high. Larger asset prices dropped, especially in office and retail sectors, with significant losses in repeat sales. Smaller properties in secondary markets saw price gains despite lower transaction volumes. Supply pressure is easing, but pricing remains uneven across property sizes and sectors.

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  • Happy Halloween | Embracing Performance Over Perception

    Halloween falls on October 31 because the ancient Gaelic festival of Samhain, considered the earliest known root of Halloween, occurred on this day.
    In the eighth century, Pope Gregory III designated November 1 as a time to praise all saints.
    Soon, All Saints' Day incorporated some traditions of Samhain and the evening before was known as All Hallows Eve, and later Halloween.
    Over time, Halloween evolved into a day of activities like trick-or-treating, carving jack-o-lanterns, festive gatherings, donning costumes and eating treats.
    Today’s the day to eat candies and sweets to your heart’s content! Happy Halloween!

  • Office Report: Loan Maturities Open Doors for New Investments

    Office Report: Loan Maturities Open Doors for New Investments

    Over $289 billion in U.S. office loans will mature by 2028, representing 33.5% of all office loan volume, with 58.8% issued before 2021 amid stronger demand. The office sector faces challenges from high vacancy rates (17.8% nationally), weak occupancy (~55%), and shifting work patterns. Central business district construction has declined 61.3% year-over-year. Investment totaled $42.7 billion, with average prices at $205 per square foot.

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  • Flexible Office Becomes Permanent | Embracing Performance Over Perception

    Across Global markets, flexible office space shifted from a temporary fix to a core part of corporate Real Estate strategy as occupiers prioritized adaptable workplaces.
    Rising construction costs, shrinking development pipelines, and changing workforce expectations pushed occupiers toward turnkey space that was ready to use without added build-out delays.
    In response, providers expanded premium, purpose-built flexible office offerings, showing how the sector matured beyond stopgap solutions into a more strategic product.
    The shift carried implications for occupiers, landlords, and operators, as flexible space increasingly shaped leasing decisions, portfolio planning, and workplace experience across Global.
    Looking toward 2027, Global flexible office trends suggested continued focus on ready-to-use, higher-quality space as companies align Real Estate with workforce needs.

  • USA Multifamily Starts Forecast Lower | Embracing Performance Over Perception

    Current multifamily starts outlook called for 454K starts in 2026 and 417K in 2027, both revised lower from the prior monthly forecast.
    In Late-Q3 2026, multifamily starts were forecast at 455K annualized after a 49K downward revision, while current construction data showed a 407K pace.
    Single-family starts also moved lower: 2026 was trimmed to 897K and 2027 to 909K, with near-term quarterly revisions entirely negative in current forecasts.
    Broader forecasts stayed fairly steady: GDP expectations were little changed, the 10-yr Treasury path remained near 5%, and near-term inflation projections were raised.
    One offset: employment growth expectations improved for 2026, while single-family starts were still expected to recover from Late-Q4 2026 into Late-Q4 2027.

  • Multifamily Starts and Completions Fall Again | Embracing Performance Over Perception

    In Mid-Q3, multifamily permits for 5+ unit buildings reached 467K annualized, down ~3% MoM but still above yearly levels across the US.
    Multifamily starts for 5+ unit buildings fell to 344K annualized in Mid-Q3, down low-20% MoM and mid-teens yearly for a second month.
    Completions for 5+ unit buildings slipped to 302K annualized in Mid-Q3, down mid-teens MoM, down mid-30% yearly, marking a fourth straight decline.
    Units under construction in 5+ buildings stood at 666K annualized, little changed MoM and down ~3% yearly, showing the multifamily pipeline continues easing.
    Single-family starts rose to 918K annualized in Mid-Q3, up high-single-digits MoM, while permits and completions moved lower and under-construction inventory edged higher.

  • Rising Construction Costs Inspire Innovative Global Real Estate Strategies

    Rising Construction Costs Inspire Innovative Global Real Estate Strategies

    Rising construction costs are reshaping the landscape for real estate investment and capital planning—something I see regularly as we collaborate on ground-up developments and value-add projects. Since 2020, annual global construction cost increases have climbed from 2–3% to 3–6%, with forecasts pointing to 3.1–4.2% annual growth through 2027. These shifts are fueled by higher wages, ongoing supply challenges, and new AI-driven demand, impacting property types in very different ways. For owners and operators, understanding how these cost pressures shape project feasibility is essential to transparent capital expense planning. My focus remains on helping clients uncover the real numbers behind their investments—optimizing rent rolls and clarifying CapEx—so they’re equipped to make solid, data-driven decisions in this evolving environment.

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  • US Commercial Demand Index Debuts | Embracing Performance Over Perception

    A new US index measured economic drivers behind Commercial Real Estate demand across 300+ metros, focusing on conditions that often appear before leasing activity shifts.
    It combined office, industrial, retail, and multifamily signals, with heavier weighting for industrial and multifamily because those sectors had driven more activity recently.
    An index reading of 100 marked the avg. metro; higher scores meant faster-growing demand drivers, while lower scores signaled slower growth, not necessarily economic decline.
    Across the US, standout metros generally showed strength in multiple sectors, and some smaller markets outperformed larger peers on recent momentum rather than scale.
    Updated quarterly, the index tracked conditions that generate space demand, highlighting where local momentum could influence whether space sat empty or got leased.